21 october 2021

What does a good cop look like?

The COP26 climate conference begins in less than two weeks. What will a successful outcome look like? At Kempen, we believe markets will respond well if global leaders make more detailed commitments to net zero and move towards a minimum price on carbon.

This summer the latest assessment report from the scientists of the IPCC ratcheted up the strength of their language and the urgency of their findings, showing there is no longer any shadow of a doubt connecting human activity with unprecedented global warming.

The analysis examined 5 different potential scenarios around the warming of the planet over the coming years. Every single one of these scenarios suggested that the Earth will reach at least 1.5C of warming in the next 20 years. “With every increment of global warming, changes get larger” concluded the IPCC, compounding the likelihood of extreme weather events such as this summer’s heatwaves and hurricanes in Europe and the US respectively (see image).

Figure: IPCC findings how the frequency of extreme weather may increase with each degree of warming

The alarming IPCC report serves as the underlying scientific basis for next month’s COP26 summit. So, what sort of outcomes should responsible investors be looking for in Glasgow? We suggest three fundamental outcomes are needed. Read our ESG newsletter to learn more.

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Kempen Capital Management N.V. (KCM) is licensed as a manager of various UCITS and AIFs and authorised to provide investment services and as such is subject to supervision by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. This document is for information purposes only and provides insufficient information for an investment decision. This document does not contain investment advice, no investment recommendation, no research, or an invitation to buy or sell any financial instruments, and should not be interpreted as such. The opinions expressed in this document are our opinions and views as of such date only. These may be subject to change at any given time, without prior notice.

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